June 9th, 2010 12:24 PM by Lehel S.
Wednesday's bond market has opened in negative territory again following early stock strength. The stock markets are showing sizable gains with the Dow up 113 points and the Nasdaq up 30 points. The bond market is down 12/32 as investors shift funds into stocks. However, due to some improvements in bond prices late yesterday, we should see little change in this morning's mortgage rates.
Fed Chairman Bernanke's statement to the House Budget Committee was the only relevant news this morning. He reiterated similar comments made Monday evening that helped influence trading yesterday. He said this morning that the U.S. economic recovery is moving in the right direction and that the European financial crisis will have a "moderate" impact on it but will not derail it. He mentioned that the employment and housing sectors are still of concern but his words seem to have reassured the markets that all will be well eventually.
The Fed will post its' Beige Book report at 2:00 PM ET this afternoon. This report is named simple for the color of its cover, but contains details about economic conditions throughout the U.S. by region. It is relied upon heavily by the Federal Reserve to determine monetary policy during their FOMC meetings. If it shows much stronger economic activity than its last release, we could see mortgage rates rise this afternoon. Particularly if the report indicates inflation is growing.
We also have to watch for the results of today's 10-year Treasury Note auction. Results the sale will be posted at 1:00 PM ET. If investor demand was high for the Notes, we may see bonds rally during afternoon trading, however, weak demand could lead to broader selling in bonds and an increase to mortgage rates.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closi ng was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.