May 30th, 2008 7:02 PM by Lehel Szucs
Friday's bond market has opened in positive territory after this morning's economic news failed to bring any negative surprises. The stock markets are in positive territory with the Dow up 15 points and the Nasdaq up 13 points. The bond market is currently up 10/32, which will likely improve this morning's mortgage rates by approximately .375 of a discount point.
There were two pieces of economic data released this morning. The first was April's Personal Income and Outlays data that showed personal income and spending both rose 0.2% last month. Forecasts were calling for an increase of 0.2% in both readings, indicating that consumer spending and their ability to spend rose modestly.
The second report of the day came from the University of Michigan who updated their Index of Consumer Sentiment for May. Today's revision revealed a reading of 59.8 that was up slightly from the earlier estimate of 59.5. This means that consumer sentiment was slightl y stronger this month than previously thought, but not enough to have much of an impact on bonds or mortgage pricing.
Even with this morning's gains, I still believe they overall tone in the bond market is more negative than positive. This will likely lead to not only volatility in bonds but also possibly intra-day changes to mortgage rates. Accordingly, I am holding the lock recommendations for the time being.
Next week is busy with several important economic releases scheduled for the markets to digest. It begins with Monday's release of May's ISM manufacturing index and ends with Friday's posting of May's Employment report. It will likely be another active week in the mortgage market, but look for details on next week's events in Sunday's weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Lock if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
©Mortgage Commentary 2008