December 26th, 2008 6:32 PM by Lehel Szucs
Friday's bond market has opened in positive territory, but not enough to affect this morning's mortgage rates. The stock markets relatively calm with the Dow up 28 points and the Nasdaq down 3 points. The bond market is currently up 6/32, but I am not expecting to see much of a change in this morning's mortgage rates compared to Wednesday's rates.
There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release today. The bond market is expected to close at 2:00 PM ET again, therefore, I think we will see a relatively calm day in bonds and mortgage rates. Unless the stock markets make a drastic move from current levels, mortgage rates should close at this morning's levels.
The bond market will reopen Monday morning for regular trading hours, but it is also a holiday-shortened week. We can expect a similar trading schedule as this week's, with only two full trading days. We may see some volatility early in the week as investors make some year-end trans actions to finalize their end-of-year portfolios. I suspect that without some favorable data or influences, bonds may move lower the first part of the week. This could lead to higher mortgage rates the first couple of days.
There are only two relevant reports scheduled for release next week but both are considered to be of fairly high importance. Neither of them will be posted Monday, but December's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) will be released Tuesday and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will post their manufacturing index Friday morning. Both of these can influence the markets enough to change mortgage rates.
Look for more details on next week's schedule and events in Sunday's weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days ... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
©Mortgage Commentary 2008