January 21st, 2009 3:02 PM by Lehel Szucs
Wednesday's bond market has opened in negative territory again as investors continue to fret about upcoming debt sales. The stock markets are rebounding somewhat from yesterday's sell-off with the Dow up 77 points and the Nasdaq up 20 points. The bond market is currently down 15/32, which will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by another .250 of a discount point.
There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release today. Tomorrow brings us the release of both of this week's only reports. Neither are considered to be of high importance to the markets, but they are the week's only factual releases. Therefore, they may influence trading enough to slightly affect mortgage pricing.
The first is December's Housing Starts report early tomorrow morning. It gives us an indication of housing sector strength and future mortgage credit demand, but it is not considered to be a heavy influence on bond trading. It is expected to show a d ecline in starts of new homes from November's level.
The second is weekly unemployment figures from the Labor Department. They are expected to say that 548,000 new claims for benefits were filed. This would be an increase from the previous week, which would be considered favorable for bonds. If the report shows a much smaller number of claims, we may see bond prices fall and mortgage rates move higher again. However, a larger than expected number may lead to slightly lower mortgage rates tomorrow morning.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of a ll/any other borrowers.
©Mortgage Commentary 2009